2011年3月19日(北京时间2011年3月20日),月球将到达19年来距离地球最近位置。据说最近点跟地球表面相距仅35万多公里,让它看起来异常巨大。有人认为“超级月亮”将现天灾降临或引发极端天气,联系这次的日本大地震,不禁让人要问地震和月球引力到底有没有关系?日美联合研究小组的研究结论是:月球引力影响海水的潮汐,在地壳发生异常变化积蓄大量能量之际,月球引力很可能是地球板块间发生地震的导火索。-psytopic.com
2011年3月19日(北京时间2011年3月20日),月球将到达19年来距离地球最近位置。这是据英国《每日邮报》3月8日报道,据说是最近点跟地球表面相距仅35万多公里,让它看起来异常巨大。民众因为可能引发极端气候和地质灾难而议论纷纷,争鸣不休。
有两种鲜明的态度,一是部分民众(主要是网民)认为3月19日迎来“超级月亮”将现天灾降临或引发极端天气;二是部分积极的科学家指出“超级月亮”与极端气候无关。当然也有盲目跟风的、不置可否的。
第一种可能:灾难说
有些网民警告称,由于地球和月球之间的距离“太近了”,这样的“超级月亮”可能会破坏地球的气候形态,甚至将会引发大规模的火山喷发和地震活动。在此前1955年、1974年、1992年和2005年都曾出现过超级月亮,但是并未给人类带来好运,反而极端气候事件层出不穷。
“灾难说”的依据是,此前“超级月亮”发生的年份,如1955年,1974年,1992年和2005年都发生过极端气候事件。1974年圣诞节的“崔西”飓风,曾让澳大利亚达尔文市变成一片废墟。2005年1月“超级月亮”日前两周,印尼大海啸造成数十万人死亡 2011年3月11日在距离超级月亮仅有8天时 日本发生了9.0级大地震
有一个事实需要注意,灾难说的群体至少可分为两种,一是天启灾难说,弥漫着宿命论色彩;一是对潜在可能性的焦虑,可能过分夸大了。
第二种可能:自因说
一些科学家则认为,超级月亮和地震以及火山喷发没有任何必然的联系,即便有火山和地震发生也是因为地球自身的原因。地月之间的距离变近只会影响潮汐。
国际射电天文中心(International Centre for Radio Astronomy)的科学家彼特-惠勒(Pete Wheeler )说:“‘超级月亮’不会带来地震或火山爆发,只会让地球出现比平常更低的低潮位或更高的高潮位,没什么值得激动的。……届时将不会因此发生地震或火山爆发,除非那是原本就会发生的。”
如果您对这篇文章感兴趣,相信你会对
PSYTOPIC同样感兴趣,网址是Psytopic.com ,这次点击不会浪费您的时间。这是Psytopic的指纹密码:aHR0cDovL3d3dy5wc3l0b3BpYy5jb20v,您可以凭这个指纹在google搜索到我们的网站。
澳洲业余天文学家勒内克(David Reneke)也持相同看法,他表示总有一些人将超级月亮和地球上一些自然灾害联系在一起,阴谋论者总能找到与特定时间扯上关系的天灾,并怪罪超级月亮。他指出,“如果你如此认为的话,那么你可以将地球上的所有自然灾害和彗星、行星的运动以及太阳的活动联系在一起。”
不过对于月球,天文学家们认为还有很多东西需要学习和研究,毕竟对于地球的这位邻居,人类知道的还是非常有限。虽然早在1969年阿波罗就登陆月球,但是地球上的专家和学者们对月球的研究远不够透彻。
第三种可能:质疑说
“即便排除1990年,今年这次超级月亮,只是排名第五。”台北市立天文教育馆研究员葛必扬质疑说。最近国外盛传3月19日月球将以约35万6578公里的距离接近地球是1992年以来最接近的一次的说法不可靠,以实际数据来看,1990年迄今,月地距离依接近程度的排名次序,分别是台湾时间1990年12月2日,月球最接近地球,其次是1993年3月8日(356528.183公里)、1992年1月20日(356549.864公里)、 2008年12月13日(356565.685公里)、2005年1月10日(356569.994公里)、再来才是2011年3月20日(356574.966公里)。
本次的超级月亮,月球会在台北时间20号凌晨3点09分过近地点。当然英媒数据来源肯定不同于台北,再由于时差原因,近地点时间有变化。台北市立天文馆表示,320的超级月亮,民众顶多可以看到感觉比较大的月亮,而月球会在3月20日凌晨3点09分过近地点,也是今年13次近地点中最接近地球的一次,恰巧凌晨2点10分,是月相逢到「望」,也就是满月的时刻,因此我们可以观赏到今年最大的一次满月,月亮的视直径达33角分56角秒。
第四种可能?
地震和月球引力到底有没有关系?这是近百年来始终困扰科学家的问题。如今日本防灾科学研究所和美国加州大学洛杉矶分校组成的联合研究小组终于证实:月球引力影响海水的潮汐,在地壳发生异常变化积蓄大量能量之际,月球引力很可能是地球板块间发生地震的导火索。他们的研究成果发表在著名的美国《科学》杂志。
作者伊丽莎白.哥奇兰说:“月球引力影响海潮的潮起潮落,地球本身在月球引力的作用下也发生变形。猛烈的潮汐在地震的引发过程中发挥了很大的作用,地震发生的时间会因潮汐造成的压力波动而提前或推迟。”研究者发现,地震的发生与断面层潮汐压力呈现高度相关,猛烈的潮汐在浅断面层施加了足够的压力从而会引发地震。当潮汐很大,达到约2-3米时,3/4的地震都会发生,而潮汐越小,引起的地震的可能也越小。
另一作者加州大学洛杉矶分校地球与空间科学系教授约翰.维大说:“地震起因还是一个谜,而这一理论可以说是其中的一种解释。我们发现海平面高度在数米范围内的改变所产生的力量会显著地影响地震发生的几率,这为我们向彻底了解地震的起因迈出了坚实的一步。”
哥奇兰等人首次将潮的相位和潮的大小合并计算,并对地震和潮汐压力数据进行了统计学分析,采用的计算方法来自于日本地球科学与防灾研究所的地震学家田中。田中从1977年至2000年间全球发生的里氏5.5级以上的板块间地震中,调查了2207次被称为“逆断层型”地震发生的地点、时间等记录,以及与发生地震时月球引力的关系,结果发现:地震发生的时间,与潮汐对断层面的压力有很高的关联性,月球引力作用促使断层错位时,发生地震次数较多。田中认为:“月球的引力只有导致地震发生的地壳发生异常变化的作用力的千分之一左右,但它的作用是不可小视的,它是地震发生的最后助力,相当于压死骆驼的最后一根稻草。”
国内的专家们,大多认为:“超级月亮”的确会带来万有引力的增强,但地震、海啸等灾难和超级月亮的关系并没有科学依据。是的,Psytopic真心地希望不会带来灾难,但是需要注意的是,“超级月亮”也不会来得悄无声息。
"Super Moon" and the 3.11 earthquake in Japan
March 19, 2011 (Beijing March 20, 2011), the moon will reach last 19 years away from Earth location. It was believed that the Earth's surface are only a point with more than 350,000 km, it seems unusually large. Some people think that "Super Moon" will come, or natural disasters are caused by extreme weather, contact the earthquake in Japan, can not help but to ask the earthquake and in the end there is no relationship between lunar gravity? Japan-US Joint Study Group conclusions are: the tidal waters of lunar gravity, anomalies in the crust the occasion of large quantities of energy savings, is likely to be Earth's gravitational earthquake plates fuse. -Psytopic.com
March 19, 2011 (Beijing March 20, 2011), the moon will reach last 19 years away from Earth location. This is according to the British "Daily Mail" reported on March 8, is said to be the nearest point with the Earth's surface is only more than 350,000 kilometers away, it looks unusually large. Because people may lead to extreme weather and geological disasters and talking about the endless contention.
There are two distinct attitude, one part of the population (mainly users) that ushered in on March 19 "Super Moon" will come, or natural disasters are caused by extreme weather; Secondly, some active scientists pointed out that "Super Moon" and extreme weather nothing. Of course, there blindly follow the trend, unconvinced.
The first possibility: the disaster that
Warned that some Internet users, due to the distance between Earth and the Moon, "too close", so "super moon" may damage the earth's weather patterns, and even will lead to large-scale volcanic eruptions and seismic activity. Prior to 1955, 1974, 1992 and 2005, there have been super the moon, but did not bring good luck to humans, but an endless stream of extreme weather events.
"Disaster said," is based on the previous "Super Moon" took place the year, such as the 1955, 1974, 1992 and 2005, extreme weather events have occurred. Christmas 1974, "Tracy" hurricane, Darwin, Australia gave its ruins. January 2005 "Super Moon" two weeks before, causing hundreds of thousands of Indonesia's tsunami death March 11, 2011 super-moon at a distance of only 8 days in Japan by 9.0 magnitude earthquake occurred
One fact to note, at least the disaster that can be divided into two groups, one apocalyptic disaster that, filled with the fatalism color; First, the potential for anxiety, might be too exaggerated.
The second possibility: Since the result of that
Some scientists believe that earthquakes and volcanic super-eruption of the moon and there is no necessary link, even if there are volcanoes and earthquakes as the earth itself is the reason. The distance between Earth and the Moon only affects changes in recent tides.
International Radio Astronomy Centre (International Centre for Radio Astronomy) scientist Peter - Wheeler (Pete Wheeler) said: "'Super Moon' will not bring about earthquakes or volcanic eruptions, will only make the Earth appear lower than normal low tide or higher high tide, there is nothing to be excited 。...... will be will not be an earthquake or volcanic eruption, unless it is the original will occur. "
Australian amateur astronomer Reneke (David Reneke) also holds the same view, he said there are always some people super-moon and the earth of natural disasters linked, conspiracy theorists can always find something to do with the particular time of natural disasters, and blame the super moon. He pointed out that "If you think so, then you can all the natural disasters on the planet and comets, planetary motion and solar activity associated with."
But for the moon, astronomers believe that there are many things to learn and study, after all, the neighbor to the Earth, human beings know is very limited. Although as early as 1969, Apollo to the moon, but experts and scholars on the planet who study the moon's far from thorough.
A third possibility: questioned
"Even excluding 1990, the year the super-moon, it is ranked fifth." Taipei Astronomical Museum education researcher Gebi Yang questioned. Recent rumors of March 19 foreign countries will be about the moon's distance of 356,578 kilometers near the Earth is the closest since 1992, saying not reliable, the actual data, since 1990, and months away from the ranking according to proximity order, namely, Taiwan time December 2, 1990, the moon closest to Earth, followed by the March 8, 1993 (356,528.183 km), January 20, 1992 (356,549.864 km), December 13, 2008 (356,565.685 km), January 10, 2005 (356,569.994 km), again is the March 20, 2011 (356,574.966 km).
The super-moon, the moon will be in Taipei time at 3:09 on the 20th too close to the site. Of course, certainly different from the British media data sources in Taipei, then the time differences, time has changed in recent locations. Taipei Astronomical Museum, said 320 of the super-moon, people feel relatively large at the most you can see the moon, the moon will be at 3:09 on March 20 too close to the location, is nearly 13 times this year's closest approach to Earth in one place, happens to be 2:10, meet the month to "look" that is, the moment the full moon, so we can watch one of the biggest full moon of this year, the moon's apparent diameter of 33 arc minutes 56 seconds of arc.
The fourth possible?
Seismic and gravity in the end there is no relationship between the moon? This is the problem of the past century has troubled scientists. Now Japan Science and Disaster Prevention Research Institute and the University of California, Los Angeles, a joint research group has finally confirmed: the tidal waters of lunar gravity, anomalies in the crust the occasion of large quantities of energy savings, is likely to be Earth's gravitational earthquake plates fuse. Their findings are published in the famous U.S. "Science" magazine.
Of Elizabeth. Geqi Lan said: "The gravitational influence of the tide ebb and flow of the moon, the earth itself under the effect of gravity on the moon is also deformed. Fierce tides, triggered by the earthquake played a significant role in earthquake time pressure due to tidal fluctuations caused by the advance or delay. "researchers found that the occurrence of earthquakes and tidal stress were highly related, violent section layer in a shallow tidal exerted enough pressure to trigger an earthquake. When the great tide, to about 2-3 meters, 3 / 4 of the earthquake will happen, but the smaller tides, may also be caused by smaller earthquakes.
Another of the University of California, Los Angeles, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Professor John. DIMENSIONAL said: "The cause of the earthquake is still a mystery, and this theory can be said to be one of them explained. We found a few meters of sea level within forces generated by changes significantly affect the probability of earthquakes, which for us to fully understand the causes of the earthquake has taken a solid step forward. "
Geqi Lan, who for the first time and tidal wave the size of the phase together, and earthquakes and tidal stress data were statistically analyzed, based on calculations from the Japan Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention seismologists Tanaka. Tanaka from 1977 to 2000 took place in the world's more than 5.5 intraplate earthquake, investigated the 2207 meeting is called "reverse fault type" earthquake location, time records, and with the gravity of the moon during an earthquake relationship was found: the earthquake occurred at a time, and tidal stress on the fault plane has a high correlation make the fault dislocation lunar gravity when an earthquake occurs more frequently. Tanaka said: "The moon's gravity is only the earth's crust causes earthquakes abnormal changes occurred about one thousandth of the force, but its role is not inconsiderable, it is the last earthquake, power, equivalent to breaks the camel's back straw. "
Domestic experts, most of that: "Super Moon" does bring an enhanced gravity, but the earthquake, tsunami and other disasters, and the relationship between super-moon there was no scientific basis. Yes, Psytopic sincerely hope will bring disaster, but "Super Moon" will not come quietly, March 20 of the tidal forces will cause changes in the weather.
suggest a better translation.
向日葵175:2011-05-24 12:40 PM
有点无聊的猜测
荷塘月9:2011-12-28 22:04 PM
这到底是什么
Guest:2012-01-09 14:01 PM
@我想对 荷塘月9 说:这是。。。。
我来说两句